Chirps from Center Ice

A fan blog about the AHL's Wilkes-Barre / Scranton Penguins

J.D. Forrest / Kevin Porter Contracts Non-Renewed; WBS Head Coaching Vacancy

I thought I was done with the blog till July. Guess not…

Announced at 11 a.m. on Sunday, the Pittsburgh Penguins have decided not to renew the contract of Wilkes-Barre / Scranton Penguins head coach J.D. Forrest and assistant Kevin Porter. Other assistant coach Sheldon Brookbank’s name was absent in the release this morning.

The news comes as a surprise to me.

First, to be clear, this wasn’t a firing. This was a non renewal of a contract. Forrest wasn’t your issue. It was lack of depth and filling those spaces with guys who couldn’t function at the AHL level, much less NHL, and then when they could, you trade away for yesterday’s garbage.

He graduated Jack St. Ivany and Valtteri Puustinen; Joel Blomqvist is next.

He got this 6 cylinder Pinto of a franchise to a few points away from a second round bye in arguably the toughest division in the AHL.

Unless you’ve found the fountain of youth it will be more of the same under a different coach.

And I’m sorry but he didn’t trade away Rem Pitlick, Alex Nylander and Ty Smith. Radim Zohorna is not an NHL player, much less AHL.

Ask yourself this question: does AHL coach of the year Todd Nelson still have this team playing in the playoffs?

Forrest is a good man. Yeah, I called for his head many a time on here but then I stepped back, took a breath and looked at the bigger picture. He will find work, quickly.

Time is ticking on the new coach of this team. Have to think it will be a highly sought after position.

2023-24 Player Grades

The Wilkes-Barre / Scranton Penguins wrapped up their 25th season with an overtime loss to the Lehigh Valley Phantoms on Friday and were swept out of the First Round of the Calder Cup Playoffs by their Turnpike rival.

The Penguins finished with a 39-24-8-1 record, good for third in the Atlantic and 87 points. They accomplished this with 56 players in the regular season and two debutants making their appearances in the Calder Cup Playoffs. That number is up from 43 the year prior, when the Penguins did not qualify for the playoffs.

Here’s words on every guy that put on a jersey this season in any game that mattered grouped into sections, similar to what I did last year.

MVP Division

Ty Smith, Joel Blomqvist

Ty Smith was injured April 7 on a nasty knee on knee hit that went uncalled by ex-Penguin Garrett Wilson and the Penguins weren’t the same. His 43 points led the team and his presence on the blue line was calming and steady. Wilkes-Barre was in good position to qualify for the playoffs when he went down, but he was sorely missed in the First Round series against Lehigh Valley both on the power play and on defense. He’s property of the Carolina Hurricanes, who don’t have an AHL affiliate at the moment but if they do next season, Smith is gone. Smith would have been a difference maker for the Pens in the playoffs, as he was all season long Wilkes-Barre in the regular season.

Blomqvist was the Penguins sole AHL All-Star, named to the Rookie Team and was a second team end of year all star. In my opinion he is the number one prospect in the organization and will be in the NHL full time one day. When? Well, after a shaky series against Lehigh Valley the answer may be later rather than sooner.

Class of 2024

Valtteri Puustinen, Jack St. Ivany

Both should be full time NHLers next season. Puustinen is a Group 6 UFA next season so we will see where he goes. St. Ivany is a restricted free agent and probably priority one to get a qualifying offer out to. St. Ivany was a diamond in the rough find and played a level headed, steady NHL game that endeared him. I’d be shocked if he made it back down to the AHL anytime soon. The job of the AHL is to graduate players to the NHL and I think that mission was accomplished with this pair here.

You’re the best we have! Now, get out of here!

Rem Pitlick, Alex Nylander, Ty Smith

I threw Smith in this group with Alex Nylander and Rem Pitlick as the leading scorers on the team at the time they were traded. Only Nylander didn’t see the AHL after he left Wilkes-Barre. Pitlick was traded for essentially nothing as a dead cap shred to Chicago but ended back in AHL Rockford, Nylander was given away to Columbus by some guy in Pittsburgh they didn’t let play on the final day of their season because of the conditions that went with it and Ty Smith was traded to an NHL team that didn’t have an AHL affiliate and was allowed to stay via loan.

Glue Guys

Vinnie Hinostroza, Sam Poulin, Corey Andonovski, Austin Rueschhoff, Jagger Joshua, Jack Rathbone, Xavier Ouellet, Jonathan Gruden, Marc Johnstone, Peter Abbandonato

Big list of guys that make up the heart and soul of the team. Hinostroza played 42 games and had 35  points and was in and out of the lineup due to recall or injury. Poulin had a little bit of a bounce back after last season but the jury is still out on if he is a bonafide NHL player, Andonovski was a good player that made you want to tear your hair out at times but improved as the season wore on and he was given more of a role, Rueschhoff and Joshua were cut from the same cloth. I would actually like to find a tier for these two as B level players, not superstars but not average, in between but this tier makes the most sense. Jack Rathbone seemed to get better as the season wore on and Ouellet and Gruden were the hard nosed type players  that gave everything night in and night out. Gruden was rewarded with a decent look in the NHL. I would argue that he is more of an NHL player than say Sam Poulin at the moment. Abbandonato doesn’t have a contact for next season and was hurt February 21 in a game against Lehigh Valley. Prior to, he had 23 points in 33 games for the Penguins. He was acquired in a trade with Owen Headrick for future considerations by the Chicago Wolves.

Marc Johnstone gets his own paragraph because he busts his tail every shift and if not but for an injury that sidelined him February 3 in Lehigh Valley until Game 2 of the First Round series with the Phantoms, the Penguins could have been in a better position for a potential first round bye. Johnstone is under contact next season, so that’s good news and a good start.

C’s Get Degrees

Radim Zohorna, Dmitri Samorukov

May be more of a recency bias with Samorukov, who played in 64 regular season contests but had a bad Game 1 and was scratched for Game 2. He was OK this season but there has to be better options out there. I don’t think Radim Zohorna is much of an NHL player to be honest. He has size and that’s all. His skill set is average. He went from a player you wanted to a player you are OK with being on the team because of flashes of brilliance. I doubt he’s highly sought after this summer as an unrestricted free agent.

If it’s Boeing, I’m Not Going!

Colin White, Will Butcher, Mark Pysyk, Mark Friedman, Libor Hajek, Cedric Desruisseaux

These guys were either lost on waivers (Colin White) traded (Will Butcher to Minnesota, Mark Friedman to Vancouver) or here for an PTO and released (Pysyk and Hajek)

The biggest one in the bunch was obviously Colin White, who was recalled by Pittsburgh January 13 then placed on waivers and lost to the Montreal Canadiens. White had 21 games with the Penguins and 10 points and was good on the power play (2 goals, one assist) White’s absence eroded key points that the Penguins couldn’t come up with either in regulation or overtime, overtime especially because the Penguins struggled there (3-8) – are the Penguins in a first round bye as a two seed if White is still around?

Butcher was a good hand defensively but ultimately expendable. Pysyk and Hajek were older dudes trying their hand at AHL work on PTO’s and when they either couldn’t hack it or found greener pastures, bounced. Mark Friedman played in two games for the Pens on opening weekend in Charlotte and was traded to Vancouver with Ty Glover for Jack Rathbone (Glover didn’t appear in any games for the Penguins prior to the trade) and played 21 games for the Canucks.

Desruisseaux had 40 games for the Nailers, two for the Penguins and then bolted overseas. He had more success playing for Wheeling and really should have stayed in my opinion. He had a goal in Charlotte around Thanksgiving.

Hired Guns

Jesse Puljujärvi, Vasily Ponomarev, Jansen Harkins, Alex Nedeljkovic, Pierre-Olivier Joseph, John Ludvig

Puljujärvi and Ponomarev are under contact to Pittsburgh for next season. You’ll likely see Ponomarev in parts again next year in the AHL on the Penguins and Harkins was here for the first half of the season then called up for good to the NHL in the second half. He was here for the final week of the Penguins season down on conditioning. Same with Alex Nedeljkovic, who appeared in one game for the Pens in Providence and scored a goal, the second goalie goal in the history of the WBS Penguins. Puljujärvi joined Pittsburgh on a PTO working his way back from hip surgery, then signed with Coal Street and found his game with 9 points (4 goals, 5 assists) in 13 games. Other fans weren’t fans of his because they still thought he was an NHL player. He kind of still is, because he was recalled by Pittsburgh and stuck.

P-O Joseph appeared in two games in an early December conditioning stint and had and assist against Charlotte. Ludvig had two stints, one mid November and another at the end of January and into February.

Box of Nails

Evan Vierling, Raivis Ansons, Owen Headrick, Lukas Svejkovsky, Justin Addamo, Dillon Hamaliuk, Justin Lee, Garrett Sparks, Jordan Frasca, Tanner Laderoute, Taylor Gauthier, Matthew Quercia, Isaac Belliveau, Max Cajkovic

These guys were or have been Wheeling mainstays for most of the season. Out of the group, Svejkovsky (19 games) Ansons (34 games but hurt for most of the time here) Headrick (20) and Addamo (21) had the most significant impacts in Wilkes-Barre. Addamo and Svejkovsky had the same amount of points (2 goals, 2 assists each) that’s disappointing for Svejkovsky, which you will read more about in the next capsule down.

Vierling and Hamaliuk showed flashes. I am really excited to see if the Penguins would consider signing Vierling over the summer. Hamaliuk is an RFA.

The rest save for Gauthier had little to no impact on the current Penguins roster save for Cajkovic who had two goals and three assists in ten games. Gauthier, who you will read more of below, had a shutout in Syracuse back in November. Issac Belliveau is under contact and next season may be make or break for him.

Summer School

Joona Koppanen, Avery Hayes, Taylor Gauthier, Lukas Svejkovsky, Isaac Belliveau

These are players under contact for next season you want to see more of. Koppanen and Hayes played with Wilkes-Barre all season but Hayes had most of his season cut short back when he was injured in the Taylor Gauthier shutout game in Syracuse back in November but then caught fire down the stretch, finally scoring a goal against the Phantoms March 30 which set him on a tear that saw him score a point or more in 6 out of the last 9 games.

Koppanen was okay playing third line minutes with 21 points. He’s a big body and I think he plays better in that big body than say Radim Zohorna so it will be interesting to see how he is come the Fall.

Svejkovsky you will recall, I had in this similar category last year. He played full time last year in the AHL because they were so talent and injury ravaged that he had to. This season he nearly split time in the ECHL but had only four points this season in the AHL.

Gauthier won ECHL goaltender of the year for the Nailers and is likely in Wilkes-Barre at some point, depending on how the depth chart ahead of him plays out.

Isaac Belliveau comes highly touted and has put up big numbers for the Nailers this season. It’s time for him to climb the ladder into a bigger role in the AHL next season.

It is what it is…

Sam Houde, Taylor Fedun

Getting to the end of the line here with Sam Houde, who had 12 points in 12 games but was injured December 2 against Springfield and never seen again, ruled out with upper AND lower body injuries and Taylor Fedun, who concludes his captaincy of the Wilkes-Barre / Scranton Penguins with 43 games played, 12 points and a +11 rating. He was a veteran and was scratched for that very reason but had a very average, but OK year for a guy of his type. It never was about the numbers with Fedun. He’s played in 501 AHL games and his playing career is likely over, given he turns 36 this summer. Neither guy is under contract for next season and for Houde, it is unknown what the future holds. EDIT: I knew I would mess one contact status up, Sam Houde is under contract with the Penguins for next season having signed in February.

Get the F out of here

Matt Filipe, Ryan Shea, Magnus Hellberg

Maybe I am not being fair to Matt Filipe, who played in 51 games and had five goals, five assists for the Penguins, but when an aging Taylor Fedun plays eight fewer games and has two more points than you, that slots you here.

I don’t know what the hype was with Ryan Shea, who was unimpressive in my eyes. 23 games, 6 points, NHL contract. Thanks for playing. He’s unrestricted, so he’ll be getting paid for under average production someplace else next season.

Hellberg didn’t really impress with his 9-8-2 record and close to 3 goals against average. He was sent to Florida (AHL Charlotte) in a straight up trade for Ludovic Waeber.

Children are our future

Beau Jelsma, Mathieu De St. Phalle, Scooter Brickey, Logan Pietila, Ville Koivunen, Tristan Broz

Broz and Koivinen did not play in the regular season for the Penguins but did in Games 1 and 2 for the Penguins in the First Round. Koivunen may be the most polished of the group, coming over from the Finnish league and having an instant impact with a goal in Game 1.

Jelsma had a goal and two assists, De St. Phalle a goal, Brickey an assist and Pietila like the others are learning to be pros. Look for all of them to have some impact on the 2024-25 Wilkes-Barre / Scranton Penguins next season. I think the future is bright with these kids and if the front office fills in the rest with good AHLers and solid vets, this team could be a contender again next season.

Protect the Nets

Joel Blomqvist, Ludovic Waeber, Magnus Hellberg, Alex Nedeljkovic, Garrett Sparks, Taylor Gauthier

Sparks was here as a third wheel for months before they sent him to Wheeling. Extremely unimpressive, appeared in two games and gave up four goals in 40 minutes of play October 29 against Hershey and was hurt in the second period of a game against Syracuse in November.

Gauthier, Blomqvist, Hellberg, and Nedeljkovic I touched on in parts above. Blomqvist was our MVP, Gauthier is our future and Nedeljkovic scored a goal in Providence when he was down for conditioning in his only start in the AHL this season. Hellberg was a bit of a disaster and was traded for Ludovic Waeber.

Waeber came in and had a bit of a shaky start, giving up three goals against Utica on March 23 but then won his final three games with the final one being a shutout against the Lehigh Valley Phantoms on April 20, the final regular season game of the season and the last win for the Penguins this calendar year (so far)

Only Gauthier and Blomqvist are under contact for next season, so if the Penguins want to rest on those laurels they can, but it’s doubtful they do. You’ll probably see another veteran come in, possibly two, with Nedeljkovic unrestricted in the summer as well. Nevertheless the nets in Wilkes-Barre should be in good hands.

Hey Coach

Head Coach J.D. Forrest, Assistant Coaches Sheldon Brookbank and Kevin Porter

I am not in the camp of firing the staff. I was last year and in parts early this season but I’m out. He still has some of the problems he had last season (can’t hold leads) but got better I thought with accountability with older guys but that may have had to do more in part with the glut of veterans on the team. Ask yourself this question. Could any coach done better? Maybe, but this wasn’t and won’t be a championship caliber team for the near term. Trading away Rem Pitlick and Alex Nylander are two or three salary grades higher and not the decision of the head coach.

He graduated Jack St. Ivany to the NHL and if he signs with a team, Valtteri Puustinen. He still needs to work on developing Sam Poulin but it takes a village. Radim Zohorna will be another coaches problem next season. How long does he have the services of Ponomarev and Koivunen for next year? How ready do Koppanen, Svejkovsky, Jelsma, Broz, etc. come to camp in September?

So that’s all. I think I touched on every body that touched the ice for the Penguins this season. This was a very robust piece here for you, I went 2500+ words, but it’s not like you don’t have all summer to read it.

As always, if you disagree with where I have a guy or if I missed one, drop me a comment. Have a great summer.

We Got Cooked — Pens LOSE 5-4 (OT) – Lehigh Valley Wins Series 2-0

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Playoffs are a different animal man.

The Penguins, 20 points better than the Lehigh Valley Phantoms in the regular season, are swept in the First Round of the Calder Cup Playoffs on Friday night 5-4 2:11 into overtime on a Jacob Gaucher game winning goal.

The Phantoms will advance to the Atlantic Division Semifinals where they will face the Hershey Bears. The Pens will go home.

Wilkes-Barre had a 3-1 lead in the third period, then disaster struck. I don’t want to spoil the story for you, so please read on.

Lines were…

Lineup Notes: Marc Johnstone returned from injury, replacing Matt Filipe. On defense, Scooter Brickey from THEE Ohio State University was in for Dmitri Samorukov.

First Period: Wilkes-Barre seemed a step quicker than the Phantoms with their backs against the wall facing elimination. They kind of needed a quick start and got one 2:17 into the game when Valtteri Puustinen deflected a Jack Rathbone shot that put the Penguins ahead 1-0.

Penguins had three power plays in the period to the Phantoms one. Corey Andonovski had a shorthanded bid and, like he attempted in Game 1 on similar circumstances, tried to go five hole on Cal Petersen but Petersen read the play well then and read the play the same way in Game 2.

Second Period: Theme this period was the Penguins power play and inability to score on same. They had a carry over power play to open the period and didn’t score. They got another crack at 2:30 and didn’t score. Then the scales tipped into the favor of the home team. Lehigh Valley gets a chance on the power play and didn’t score but the Pens survive a scare of sorts when the red light comes on behind Blomqvist but the puck didn’t even enter the crease. Wilkes-Barre navigates out of this, but then the Phantoms get another crack at another power play and Ronnie Attard cashes and ties the game at one at 9:19.

Joel Blomqvist spills a rebound of the initial Attard shot there, bodies bussing in front and Attard picks the near corner.

Deflating, yes, as the Phantoms started running downhill and got some momentum back. But then Louie Belpedio puts a puck over glass for a delay of game and six seconds into the ensuing power play which followed, Radim Zohorna did this…

Big goal here on a rebound off a shot from Hinostroza from the point, and the Wilkes-Barre re-establishes the lead.

2:52 later and Ville Koivunen finds a streaking Jack Rathbone in the slot and Rathbone wires one home that gives Wilkes-Barre a two goal advantage.

I ragged on Jack Rathbone earlier in the year. I will admit that he has come into his own and has scored big goals late down the stretch for the Penguins.

Third Period: So the Phantoms have eight comeback wins this season.

The Penguins hit a disaster stretch of 2:43.

First, Jonathan Gruden was called for a check to the head when the replay clearly didn’t show contact.

Then on the power play in a scrum, Xavier Ouellet legitimately cross checks Rhett Gardner in the back and that put the Phantoms on a five on three for :38.

:16 into that, Emil Andrae scored.

But :22 after that, Tanner Laczynski tied the game at three on the back end of the two man advantage. There was some debate as to whether the shot was directed in legally with a high stick, but after a conference between linesmen Ryan Jackson and Jud Ritter, referees Jack Young and Jordan Deckard allowed the goal to stand. You be the judge.

Scoresheet credited the goal to Laczynski, not Brink as Bob Rotruck gleefully indicates above.

The Penguins gave up another power play but Wilkes-Barre navigated clean out of that.

Radim Zohorna to the rescue?

That was a hell of a pass by Valtteri Puustinen there that reestablished the Penguins lead with 3:48 to play. All five Penguins touched the puck on the play.

But, :34 later, Tanner Laczynski scored again to tie the game at four. Sam Poulin was tripped behind the play, no call. Marc Johnstone tackled in the corner, no call.

Suffice to say that Jordan Deckard and Jack Young shouldn’t see another playoff game this season. They will, but they shouldn’t.

No one else scored. It was off to…

Overtime: The Penguins didn’t record a shot, the Phantoms had a quick start and a hot finish.

Defensive zone face-off win. Brandon Furry with the initial shot, Joel Blomqvist with the save, but Jacob Gauthier there for the rebound to put the Phantoms through and the Penguins to the offseason.

Three Stars: 3) Emil Andrade (goal, assist) 2) Tanner Laczynski (two goals) 1) Jacob Gaucher (game winning overtime goal)

The Good: Overall positive season. They finished third, got better as the season wore on and got a playoff spot.

The Bad: Another early playoff exit. Will they ever win the big one? Faceoffs were an issue all series. They got killed in the dot in Game 1, and as you just saw they lose a face-off in the offensive zone which ultimately ended their season.

Turning Point: The 2:43 of madness that they seem to find themselves in the postseason sees Lehigh Valley score a pair of goals in :22, steals all the momentum and they ride the rail to overtime, where they can’t win a face-off and lose on a rush and a rebound that ends their season way too early.

Listen, I didn’t like their chances against the Providence Bruins if they got there. What we are doing is meaningless, because Hershey is the overwhelming favorite in the posteseason, but then sometimes these underdog teams like the Phantoms go on runs and upset everything in their way. Can the Phantoms beat Hershey? I don’t think so. But I’m also the guy that said the Penguins would sweep the team that just swept them.

So that’s it. Thanks for following along again for another season. Lots of woody banter with most of you which I appreciate.

I’ll be around, I may do a player grade thing like I did at the end of last season here and will be around on Twitter and will still pay attention to the Calder Cup Playoffs here to see the Colorado Eagles win the Calder Cup.

Talk to you soon.

Let’s Go Pens!

Cooked? — Pens LOSE 2-1 (LV Leads 1-0)

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I guess the easiest thing going for me is that for as long as the Penguins are on the brink of elimination, I am going to whip out this headline because the theme for this postseason from Coal Street is, “Let ‘Em Cook” – just so you know.

A lot of chemists out there all of a sudden.

I say that because of the 2-1 setback the Lehigh Valley Phantoms dealt the Wilkes-Barre / Scranton Penguins in Game 1 of their First Round series Wednesday night and all of the chemists out there saying that due to “chemistry” it was one of the reasons the Penguins are already facing elimination.

Game 2 goes Friday from Allentown.

So, by these peoples logic, they would allow Raivis Ansons to play over Valtteri Puustinen because Ansons has been on the team all season here in the AHL and Puustinen hasn’t. All of these new players and this influx is allegedly messing with the “chemistry” all of a sudden. They complain when Pittsburgh takes the players then blame it on chemistry when they return them.

Going a step further, the Penguins would have about 24 points this season and would have only won 12 games if the chemistry argument was to believed, what with the constant lineup changes and recalls and injuries.

No, tonights game was a game of inches.

About midway through the first period in a then scoreless contest, Jonathan Gruden fed Matt Filipe on a two on one rush. Filipe received the pass, shot it into a wide open net but Cal Petersen was there for a diving save, knocking the puck out of the direction of the net with the backside of the glove.

Lehigh Valley strikes at 14:37 of the first when Adam Brooks sneaks in a shot through the right armpit of Joel Blomqvist and it was 1-0 to the visitors.

Inches.

Then, just :58 into the second period and the Penguins desperate for a response after getting run over in the last 10 minutes of the first period, Rhett Gardner, a Penguins killer, sweeps in a pinballing puck off an uncorralled rebound from Blomqvist and it’s 2-0.

There were multiple problems facing the Penguins in Game 1. None of it had anything to do with chemistry.

  • Want. Phantoms played hungrier and a perfect road game, taking the fans out of it early after the first TV time out, dominating possession time.
  • Bodies. Wilkes-Barre was manhandled below the dots in Game 1. The Phantoms played the game from the bottom up and it seemed to work.
  • Joel Blomqvist was shaky. Remember he’s a rookie and this is his first playoff series. A lot of brass in the building tonight as well. He’s human and pressure busts pipes.

Ville Koivunen scored his first North American pro goal off a deft feed from Sam Poulin far side late in the second which gave Wilkes-Barre life.

He was acquired in the trade for Jake Guentzel and early returns on him were positive. He skated on a line with Poulin and Puustinen.

Nothing doing in the third for either side. I counted three posts that the Phantoms rang in the game, two in the second and one in the third. Evenly played period for the most part with a lot of play and not many whistles. It seemed at times that referees Jim Curtin and Riley Brace threw out the AHL rulebook because I counted a few blatant cross checks and trips that went uncalled that three weeks ago puts a team on a power play. They were fine. The Penguins did not lose the game because of the officiating.

Here’s how they lined up…

Lineup Notes: Jonathan Gruden (injury return) Tristan Broz and the aforementioned Ville Koivunen made their season debuts for the Penguins. No changes defensively from the last regular season game.

I, for one, didn’t particularly like the play of Dmitri Samorukov or Ryan Shea Wednesday. The Phantoms owned the ice from the dots down and Samorukov and Shea were a part of that, in part. I saw chatter about Taylor Fedun having a poor night, I didn’t notice him much which is a good thing in my book, your mileage may vary.

Three Stars: 3) Ville Koivunen (goal) 2) Cal Petersen (21 saves) 1) Rhett Gardner

The Good: Future is bright it would seem with Koivunen. He comes from overseas where they play on bigger ice but didn’t look out of place at all.

The Bad: I don’t know what defensive adjustments J.D. Forrest has at his disposal. I’m not advocating for placing Owen Pickering or Emil Pieniniemi in there for Game 2 with the season on the line. He may be in a box here.

Turning Point: I think it’s below…

Here’s your highlights…

The Petersen save on Filipe is right around the minute mark of the video. An argument can be had that if that goes in, it’s a different result for the Penguins maybe because it completely would turn the tide in the game. Since it really was just a save on just a shot, if you want to give it to Gardner and his goal :58 into the second period that made it 2-0, I am not going to stop you.

Game 2 is Friday with the season on the line. They better be ready.

I really am not looking forward to a Sunday at 5 p.m. start in Wilkes-Barre with both teams seasons on the line. Que será, será.

Let’s Go Pens!

2024 Calder Cup Playoffs Preview

Everyones favorite time of year, it’s time to see who loses to Hershey for the Calder Cup Playoffs!

I jest, kind of, with that last statement, but don’t see how the Bears are troubled and see a repeat in Hershey’s future. A baker’s dozen, thirteen Calder Cups.

But in order to get there, the Bears will need to navigate four rounds.

Now, I expect these to be wrong in parts and right in parts. Of course the Penguins fan in me wants to see Hershey lose in the first round via sweep and for the Penguins to win every playoff game by fifteen goals. That just isn’t going to happen. But let’s do it anyway.

Before we do, a moment of silence for the Bridgeport Islanders, Springfield Thunderbirds, Utica Comets, Laval Rocket, Iowa Wild, Chicago Wolves, Henderson Silver Knights, San Diego Gulls and San Jose Barracuda. For the Barracuda, this is the third season they have missed the playoffs under this extended format. Every other team has qualified at least once. That is pretty bad. So if you think you have it bad, just be happy you aren’t a Barracuda fan.

Here’s how the concept works, the first round is best of three, division semifinals and finals best of five then best of seven for the conference finals and Calder Cup Finals.

Let’s start in the Pacific Division and work our way east.

First Round Bye: Coachella Valley Firebirds

First Round, Best of Three

(2) Tucson Roadrunners vs. (7) Calgary Wranglers: Because of distance all three are being played in Arizona. The Coyotes loaded up the Roadrunners with talent for the push. Early returns are positive, Roadrunners in three.

(3) Ontario Reign vs. (6) Bakersfield Condors: Gotta go with the hotter team in the moment in these best of threes. Strap in, because it’s going to become a theme here. I’ll give Bakersfield the benefit of the doubt here, but it’s the 8-2 in their last ten Ontario Reign advancing in three.

(4) Colorado Eagles vs. (5) Abbotsford Canucks: Another series played at one place (Colorado) – matchup doesn’t favor one over the other, but Abbotsford has been on a tear of late (8-1-1-1) and I think that’s enough to get them across and through to the next round, but this is the weakest and least confident First Round pick I am making here. Canucks in three.

Division Semifinals, Best of Five

(1) Coachella Valley Firebirds vs. (5) Abbotsford Canucks: Really impressed by Coachella Valley’s body of work here this season. It’s like they didn’t miss a beat and were the only other team not named Hershey to go over 100+ points in the season. Coachella Valley went 7-0-1 against the Canucks here and that trend continues, Firebirds in three.

(2) Tucson Roadrunners vs. (3) Ontario Reign: Matchup was dead heat in regular season. I think Tucson may be legit but this very well be because I don’t see enough of either team, Ontario especially. Follow your gut, Jason. Tucson in five.

Division Finals, Best of Five

(1) Coachella Valley Firebirds vs. (2) Tucson Roadrunners: Both teams ended up 4-3-0-1 against each other. It’s something you expected Hershey to do that they never did but I think the “running out of steam” part clips the Firebirds here and it’s Tucson in five, advancing to the Conference Finals.

First Round Byes: Milwaukee Admirals, Rockford IceHogs, Grand Rapids Griffins

First Round, Best of Three

(4) Texas Stars vs. (5) Manitoba Moose: Go with the hotter team in the moment of a flashpan series such as this. Texas was 4-6 in its last ten, 2-4-1-1 against the Moose. Manitoba is 6-4 in their last ten and 6-2 against the Stars. I could see it go three because of the home ice in Texas factor, but let’s not overthink it and select Moose in two.

Division Semifinals, Best of Five

(1) Milwaukee Admirals vs. (5) Manitoba Moose: I debated this one longer than I should have because I think I am picking too many favorites in this, but Milwaukee finished 26 points better than the Moose this season and aren’t going out to a team they beat by 25+ points in their first playoff action. Milwaukee in four.

(2) Grand Rapids Griffins vs. (3) Rockford IceHogs: Both teams played each other in a dead heat for the most part and Grand Rapids’ 86 points was just one better than Rockford’s 85. Some series scream going the distance, this is one of them. Toss a coin, because neither team gets out of the next round. Heads Griffins, Tails IceHogs. It’s Heads. Grand Rapids in five.

Division Finals, Best of Five

(1) Milwaukee Admirals vs. (2) Grand Rapids Griffins: Any other year I think I would like this matchup more for Grand Rapids and maybe I am wrong and I likely am, but I really can’t see any scenario where the Admirals are really in any danger. I think it’s a methodical takedown for Karl Taylor’s Admirals, who advance in four.

First Round Bye: Cleveland Monsters

First Round, Best of Three

(4) Belleville Senators vs. (5) Toronto Marlies: So I like the lunchpail mentality of the B-Sens here and expect them to win this division. It starts here. Toronto gives them a ride, but it’s the Belleville Senators moving on in three games.

Division Semifinals, Best of Five

(2) Rochester Americans vs. (3) Syracuse Crunch: These two teams were in contention for the North Division crown on the last day with Cleveland. Syracuse could have wrapped things up the day before but didn’t. That cost them home ice too, but I don’t think it matters here. You have to go with the hotter team in the moment and that is the 8-1-1 Rochester Americans, who advance via sweep.

(1) Cleveland Monsters vs. (4) Belleville Senators: It’s a bad matchup for Belleville, who went 1-3 against Cleveland, but there’s something about a team getting hot at the right time in any given point in the season. Cleveland is the weakest division winner out of Hershey, Coachella Valley and Milwaukee and I smell upset, Belleville in five.

Division Finals, Best of Five

(2) Rochester Americans vs. (4) Belleville Senators: Should be a knock down, drag out, multiple overtime type of series that is won on a razor’s edge. No stopping them now, Belleville in five.

First Round Byes: Hershey Bears, Providence Bruins

First Round, Best of Three.

(3) Wilkes-Barre / Scranton Penguins vs. (6) Lehigh Valley Phantoms: I don’t see any scenario where this doesn’t end in a sweep for the Penguins. The Penguins were 8-1-2-1 against the Phantoms this season. I mean sure, you can argue that the Phantoms steal a game, but Joel Blomqvist is too good in goal and the defenders and reinforcements from Pittsburgh have played the system all season long. Penguins in two.

(4) Charlotte Checkers vs. (5) Hartford Wolf Pack: Because of distance, all three games are being played at Charlotte, with Hartford being the “de facto” home team in Game 2, but that just means last change. Checkers will be sleeping in their own beds and all that but I still don’t think that matters. Hartford stumbled big down the stretch, turned it on a bit late, but it’s Charlotte advancing in three.

Division Semifinals, Best of Five.

(1) Hershey Bears vs. (4) Charlotte Checkers: I think it’s a good matchup for the Checkers who push the Bears and scare them a few times. This could be one played on a razors edge, but it’s Hershey moving on in four.

(2) Providence Bruins vs. (3) Wilkes-Barre / Scranton Penguins: I could see this going five and will stick with that. Penguins don’t lead at all in the series, tie it in games two and four but Providence is built for this and overcome in five and advance.

Division Finals, Best of Five

(1) Hershey Bears vs. (2) Providence Bruins: Bad, bad matchup for the Bruins, who went 1-3-1-1 against Hershey this season. Todd Nelson works out any bugs that were there in a too tight for his liking Charlotte series and Hershey sweeps it’s way into the Conference Finals.

Eastern Conference Finals, Best of Seven

(1) Hershey Bears vs. (4) Belleville Senators: So let me stop here and say that I think that no matter who comes out of the Atlantic, that team is going to advance to the Calder Cup Finals because I can’t see any team in the North beating any team in the Atlantic capable of getting to this point four times in a series. Spin it any way you want with however many teams you want, but since it’s me behind the keyboard it’s Hershey in five here.

Western Conference Finals, Best of Seven

(1) Milwaukee Admirals vs. (2) Tucson Roadrunners: A lot of people predicted a while ago that it would be Hershey and Milwaukee in the Calder Cup Finals, in a rematch of the 2005-06 Calder Cup Finals. Those people are wrong. It’s Tucson as the de facto Cinderella team that has the right ingredients to make a run all the way to the Finals. Roadrunners in six.

Calder Cup Finals, Best of Seven

The Hershey Bears set record after record this season. The Bears bested records that other Bears teams set, some really good Bears teams from long ago, quite easily. There hasn’t been any stopping this team all season. Take it from someone who watched them play his favorite team twelve times. They force errors, they capitalize and feast on those errors. They have two really good goaltenders in Clay Stevenson and Hunter Shepard playing goal. Combined, they have an astonishing 12 shutouts and a 51-14-5 record with a 1.91 save percentage. Giant Center is an impenetrable fortress seemingly for the opponents, the Bears went 29-7 at home this season. On paper, there’s no stopping them. But they don’t play these on paper, they play them on ice.

(1) Hershey Bears vs. (2) Tucson Roadrunners: I can see the Roadrunners giving the Bears a scare, like the Firebirds did last season with Hershey but the story ends the same way it did last year for the defending champs. Todd Nelson makes adjustments, Hershey repeats for back-to-back Calder Cups and they switch to the other side of the ice at Giant Center and hang their thirteenth Calder Cup banner this Fall opposite the twelve they have on the other side. Hershey in five.

That’s how it plays out in my head. I am probably way off base here and will probably shoot 40% or lower on my picks. Congrats on the Calder Cup, Condors fans!

LudNOvic — Pens WIN 2-0

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21 saves by Ludovic Waeber and the Wilkes-Barre / Scranton Penguins seal the third spot in the Atlantic Division with 87 points and a First Round date with the team that they defeated Saturday in the season finale in the Phantoms with a 2-0 win.

Here’s the First Round schedule.

For gods sake I hope it ends in a sweep because the last damn thing I want to do is come to a Sunday home game that starts at 5. And if there is overtime? On a Sunday? Which is a work night?! Egads!

Here’s how they lined up…

If some of those names on the Phantoms don’t sound familiar, it’s because they aren’t, Lehigh Valley, locked into the six seed, dressed a greener lineup and rested regulars.

Lineup Notes: Evan Vierling and Isaac Belliveau were sent to Wheeling Saturday afternoon. Scooter Brickey and Matt Quercia also yielded for the Pittsburgh reinforcements.

First Period: No scoring. No penalties. Slow start. Moving on…

Second Period: Teams traded penalties. Sam Poulin scored on a nice feed from Valtteri Puustinen and that gave the Penguins a 1-0 lead.

Great vision by Puustinen to find a streaking Poulin and better finish by Poulin for the goal.

Third Period: Penguins carried a penalty kill into the period but on the expiration of that Radim Zohorna finished off a tic tac toe play with Vinnie Hinostroza and the aforementioned Puustinen again that made it 2-0 Penguins.

My initial thought was Hinostroza was going to shoot there and it looked like he kinda did, but it was a pass to the front for the redirect by Zohorna and in.

Really it’s about uneventful hockey and just getting out clean, and that’s what they did here. Waeber, facing a more inexperienced lineup, only faced six Phantoms shots in the third.

Three Stars: 3) Alexei Kolosov (22 saves) 2) Sam Poulin (goal) 1) Ludovic Waeber (21 save shutout)

The Good: 87 points is about 10-15 points higher than I thought they would finish. They surprises all of us, and are getting hot at the right time. Maybe, just maybe…

The Bad: Not found. They sewed up the three seed and their backup goaltender got a shutout.

Turning Point: The Zohorna goal that made it two gets it here.

Around the Division: Charlotte beats Hershey 4-1. The Bears will not finish with the best points percentage in AHL history, that dubious distinction remains with our friends on the Southern Tier of New York and the Binghamton Rangers. Bridgeport beats Providence 4-1….Hartford beats Springfield 6-4.

Standings: Hershey 111 – Providence 91 – Penguins 87 – Charlotte 85 – Hartford 78 – Lehigh Valley 71 – Springfield 65 – Bridgeport 59

Wheeling Update: The Nailers needed a win in Game 2 and got one in a big way winning 7-1 in Indy over the Fuel. That series is tied 1-1. Justin Addamo had four assists. Evan Vierling had a pair of goals.

Video Highlights: Aren’t up yet. To the AHL VideoCenter you go.

I will have a generalized Calder Cup Preview from start to finish for you likely Tuesday here and we will just roll into Game 1 from there. I like their chances in the First Round against Lehigh Valley. Not so much against Providence in the next round. Explained more in depth Tuesday for you.

Let’s Go Pens!

Wolfed — Pens LOSE 3-2

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Depending on your view of this one, a 4-3 Penguins loss in Hartford on Friday, the Penguins…

…sleptwalked through two periods and found themselves down 2-0 but then used a pair of goals in short order to tie the game, but got bit late on a 5-on-3 power play goal from the hosts.
…took way too many penalties (seven) in the contest and with the combination of a slow start crippled with having to kill 14 minutes of penalties ion a 60 minute hockey game, the results are what they are.

So it could have been way worse, but it wasn’t.

The bad news is that Providence beat Springfield and the Penguins cannot get to the second seed and first round bye. So they will be in the first round playing a best of three, we just don’t know against who, because they still haven’t nailed down the three seed yet.

Let’s get to that later.

Here’s how they lined up. Hartford didn’t post lines:

Lineup Notes: From Sunday in Hershey, it was Jagger Joshua for Logan Pietila up front and Owen Headrick for Isaac Belliveau on defense. Ryan Shea cleared waivers at 2 thus making him eligible for assignment to the AHL and the Penguins released Emil Järventie and defenseman Kalle Kangas from their ATOs.

First Period: Wasn’t good. It’s a good thing Joel Blomqvist is as decorated as he was this past week because he was busy in the first, stopping all 12 shots faced and stymying the Hartford power play three times. Wilkes-Barre had just a paltry three shots on goal.

Second Period: Bryan Yoon, playing in his second AHL game, breaks the deadlock with a rebound of a Bobby Trivigno shot that made it 1-0 Hartford.

Shots at the end of the second were 21-9 Wolf Pack. The Penguins could not get out of their own way.

Third Period: It continued into the third period. Nik Brouillard scored just :43 in to make it 2-0 Hartford.

But then, two goals in :39 for the Penguins had them tied and the Wolf Pack stunned.

First Jack Rathbone floated to the slot and snapped a shot home that made it 2-1 Pens.

Then Austin Rueschhoff, skating in his 200th AHL game, scored against his former team and tied the game at two.

But the Penguins continued to battle penalties and found themselves on the wrong end of a 5-on-3 and it was Nic Petan that scored to make it 3-2.

The Penguins, with Blomqvist pulled for the extra attacker, had a power play late but could not find the equalizer.

Three Stars: 3) Jack Rathbone (goal, assist) 2) Nikolas Brouillard (goal, assist) 1) Nic Petan (goal, assist)

The Good: I liked the scoring in flashes. They went down swinging.

The Bad: Gotta clean up the penalties and I didn’t like the fact that Hartford couldn’t win to save their arse two weeks ago, look like a well oiled machine and are getting hot at the right time all of a sudden.

Turning Point: The Petan gets it here.

Around the Division: Lehigh Valley takes the final spot in the Atlantic and qualify for the playoffs with a 3-0 shutout win in Bridgeport….Providence beats Springfield and earn a first round bye with a 4-2 win.

Standings: Hershey 111 – Providence 91 – Penguins 85 – Charlotte 83 – Hartford 76 – Lehigh Valley 71 – Springfield 65 – Bridgeport 57

Wheeling Update: Nailers lose Game 1 of Kelly Cup Playoffs in Indy 5-2. Dillon Hamiluk had a goal for the Nailers in the loss.

Video Highlights: AHL Video Center is probably your best bet for you sickos.

They wrap the regular season tomorrow in Allentown. Talk to you then.

Let’s Go Pens!